Since Cuba was so dependent on Venezuela for the oil, now that that spigot is cutoff, their economy will or should implode within the year. Marco Rubio will then be offering them a deal they can’t refuse.
I’ll also say that your logic on all that you stated is sound. And, believing we are in the process of the pieces falling together for a global, NWO, you were not wearing a tin foil hat!
(I give the bot credit for shining a light on silver. But I’m exhausted from debunking the endless stream of AI-generated conspiracy porn that contradicts basic physics and arithmetic.)
Thanks for the clarification - I saw hints but wasn't sure, his cadence was yes, a dead giveaway. Another was repetition regarding the severity, it was the same verbiage for each scenario.
It sucks there's not an ounce of veracity to anything anymore so debunking that was appreciated.
Not just that particular AI slop either. That propaganda arm is making all kinds of claims. Not sure what the end game is, other than spreading disinformation, trying to shake out weak hands, start a bank run, who knows?
I doubt Venezuela is much of an additional choke point for silver- it’s not as if Peru and Mexico are swapping silver, and the Darien Gap blocks the land shipping anways
"And Maria Corina Machado? You know, the Nobel Peace Prize winner that wanted America to liberate her country through force (because nothing screams nobel peace price more than asking for a war). Well, Trump threw her under the bus at his press conference. “Doesn’t have the trust of the people”.(He was just P.O.'d that she got the Peace Prize instead of him(evidently, his last chance.)
"Whether it works out depends entirely on whether this becomes genuine partnership and prosperity for Venezuelans, or just another extraction operation with a thin democratic veneer."
A genuine partnership? Prosperity for Venezuelans? Please, we're all adults here.
For those wondering about future prosperity for Venezuelans under the USA, one could get a pretty good idea by looking at the economic stats for Afghanistan from 2001 to 2021, while it was under US/NATO occupation.
GDP of Afghanistan in 2001 - US$5.6 billion. GDP per capita - $275.86
GDP of Afghanistan in 2021 - US$16.3 billion. GDP per capita - $413.71
I should point out that when the US invaded Afghanistan it was the poorest country in the world. Practically anything the US might have done by way of development would've made a huge difference in the numbers. But as you can see, there was no significant improvement in the lives of the people despite the fact that the US expended $2.3 trillion on the occupation. In fact Afghan lives became worse over all, as the US spent 20 years bombing its favorite targets: weddings, funerals and hospitals.
America did not decapitate Venezuela to make its people prosperous, nor to make them free. Those considerations don't even remotely enter into the calculus. America took over Venezuela - at least by Trump's word - for its own interests. Whether or not the Venezuelans will go along with Trump still remains to be seen. They might. But on the other hand, the possibility is high that at least some Venezuelans - like Afghans - will fight back.
Yep, but I had to add that bit. Because if the US would truly want a thriving nation, it can make that happen. Chances are low as I stated subsequently.
It would also serve their own interests, as it's MUCH more easy to be a benevolent exploiter than simply a foreign power extracting resources. The country is simply too big to control in the latter case.
Nicely put but if Afghanistan, Iraq any Syria have shown the Washing town critters anything (they haven't obviously) $lumville couldn't even pay the bill for its MIC Pentacon capers in those desert wastelands. Trump has only shown the rest of humanity that the US is out of control and desperate. Payback will come in due course as it always does to dying empires and their gone to seed kakistocracies. Release the Epstein Mossad Orange Utang kiddyporn files already before the nutjob gets to blow the planet. The rest is loser BS as the old Don shuffles to the grave.
Great analysis all the way - thanks. Agreed and my assessment also. But, as I live in South Africa, I wonder which sphere we end up in? Generally where is Africa in all this?
Sorry to say, but generally Africa is exploited by anyone that gets their hands on it. Be it the west, china, or anyone else.
I don't mean SA in particular, but A as a continent.
Too much corrupt elites that will suppress their countrymen for a nickle and a dime.
If only A's would work together, say NO to colonization and the corrupt elite that does the wests bidding... You would be the RICHEST people on the planet.
"...This isn’t chaos. This is negotiated order..."
"The splitting up of the world into three great super-states was an event which could be and indeed was foreseen before the middle of the twentieth century... In one combination or another, these three super-states are permanently at war, and have been so for the past twenty-five years..." -- George Orwell "1984"
It is difficult to see how Russia could take Ukraine. Russians make very little progress on the battle field, while Ukrainians started to systematically degrade Russian oil and gas infrastructure with domestically produced drones.
I don't think it'll be long before Ukr completely collapses. As an army, as a nation and as a people.
I would suggest you follow Simplicius with his relentless Ukraine updates. It'd give you some perspective from the mainstream media that is all "Ukraine will win/Russia is collapsing" narrative. The truth is likely somewhere in the middle, and Simplicius does a good job on capturing that. [FYI: https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/sitrep-1226-odessa-pressure-peaks]
I can't reasonably critique most of what you wrote, since it's based mainly on speculation, albeit plausible. Just some minor corrections:
1) The Russian MANPADS ("Strela", probably) are not normally equipped with night vision sights. The attack was conducted at night, with the city plunged in darkness. Trump hinted that this was due to a cyber attack. That's certainly plausible - the SCADA systems used to control power plants are not exactly known for their security and the NSA has a lot of experience with this kind of stuff - but it's generally wise to take any Trump pronouncements with a grain of salt. It is, however, a fact that these power stations indeed went down and the website of the main power producing company is still off-line, AFAIK. I'd love the opportunity to do some DFIR on disk images of their computers...
2) At least one of the helicopters used in the attack sustained damage (although could continue to fly), so *something* must have shot at it.
In any case, it seems obvious that US intelligence had Maduro's environment completely compromised (they had copies of his safe room for training forced entry - copies that were exact down to the precise materials used), so HUMINT must have done a lot of work here. Not surprising, really - given how bad the economy in Venezuela is, it wouldn't have been too hard to buy off at least some people close to Maduro.
Thanks for your comments! And yes, a lot of this is pure speculation. The truth will get out eventually. Don't know if that'd be in my lifetime or not. But it'll be long after it matters anymore, that's for sure.
Since Cuba was so dependent on Venezuela for the oil, now that that spigot is cutoff, their economy will or should implode within the year. Marco Rubio will then be offering them a deal they can’t refuse.
I’ll also say that your logic on all that you stated is sound. And, believing we are in the process of the pieces falling together for a global, NWO, you were not wearing a tin foil hat!
(I give the bot credit for shining a light on silver. But I’m exhausted from debunking the endless stream of AI-generated conspiracy porn that contradicts basic physics and arithmetic.)
Thanks for the clarification - I saw hints but wasn't sure, his cadence was yes, a dead giveaway. Another was repetition regarding the severity, it was the same verbiage for each scenario.
It sucks there's not an ounce of veracity to anything anymore so debunking that was appreciated.
Not just that particular AI slop either. That propaganda arm is making all kinds of claims. Not sure what the end game is, other than spreading disinformation, trying to shake out weak hands, start a bank run, who knows?
I doubt Venezuela is much of an additional choke point for silver- it’s not as if Peru and Mexico are swapping silver, and the Darien Gap blocks the land shipping anways
This excellent essay has given me new possibilities to think about. Thank you.
"And Maria Corina Machado? You know, the Nobel Peace Prize winner that wanted America to liberate her country through force (because nothing screams nobel peace price more than asking for a war). Well, Trump threw her under the bus at his press conference. “Doesn’t have the trust of the people”.(He was just P.O.'d that she got the Peace Prize instead of him(evidently, his last chance.)
That sounds like him yes.
"Whether it works out depends entirely on whether this becomes genuine partnership and prosperity for Venezuelans, or just another extraction operation with a thin democratic veneer."
A genuine partnership? Prosperity for Venezuelans? Please, we're all adults here.
For those wondering about future prosperity for Venezuelans under the USA, one could get a pretty good idea by looking at the economic stats for Afghanistan from 2001 to 2021, while it was under US/NATO occupation.
According to the World Bank: (https://data.worldbank.org/country/afghanistan)
GDP of Afghanistan in 2001 - US$5.6 billion. GDP per capita - $275.86
GDP of Afghanistan in 2021 - US$16.3 billion. GDP per capita - $413.71
I should point out that when the US invaded Afghanistan it was the poorest country in the world. Practically anything the US might have done by way of development would've made a huge difference in the numbers. But as you can see, there was no significant improvement in the lives of the people despite the fact that the US expended $2.3 trillion on the occupation. In fact Afghan lives became worse over all, as the US spent 20 years bombing its favorite targets: weddings, funerals and hospitals.
America did not decapitate Venezuela to make its people prosperous, nor to make them free. Those considerations don't even remotely enter into the calculus. America took over Venezuela - at least by Trump's word - for its own interests. Whether or not the Venezuelans will go along with Trump still remains to be seen. They might. But on the other hand, the possibility is high that at least some Venezuelans - like Afghans - will fight back.
Yep, but I had to add that bit. Because if the US would truly want a thriving nation, it can make that happen. Chances are low as I stated subsequently.
It would also serve their own interests, as it's MUCH more easy to be a benevolent exploiter than simply a foreign power extracting resources. The country is simply too big to control in the latter case.
No1 - Very thoughtful analysis.
"Good empire building", and just ahead of financial precipice... best timing.
;-/
Nicely put but if Afghanistan, Iraq any Syria have shown the Washing town critters anything (they haven't obviously) $lumville couldn't even pay the bill for its MIC Pentacon capers in those desert wastelands. Trump has only shown the rest of humanity that the US is out of control and desperate. Payback will come in due course as it always does to dying empires and their gone to seed kakistocracies. Release the Epstein Mossad Orange Utang kiddyporn files already before the nutjob gets to blow the planet. The rest is loser BS as the old Don shuffles to the grave.
Epstein? What Epstein? oh look! another war!!
Great analysis all the way - thanks. Agreed and my assessment also. But, as I live in South Africa, I wonder which sphere we end up in? Generally where is Africa in all this?
Sorry to say, but generally Africa is exploited by anyone that gets their hands on it. Be it the west, china, or anyone else.
I don't mean SA in particular, but A as a continent.
Too much corrupt elites that will suppress their countrymen for a nickle and a dime.
If only A's would work together, say NO to colonization and the corrupt elite that does the wests bidding... You would be the RICHEST people on the planet.
So true No1 - thanks - we will dream on in the sun (Cape Town)!
"...This isn’t chaos. This is negotiated order..."
"The splitting up of the world into three great super-states was an event which could be and indeed was foreseen before the middle of the twentieth century... In one combination or another, these three super-states are permanently at war, and have been so for the past twenty-five years..." -- George Orwell "1984"
A great distillation of current events and plausible outcomes No1. First rate-Thanks!
As Rodney King once suggested.."why can't we all just get along..."
Excellent, NO1. I have reached the same conclusion as yours.
It is difficult to see how Russia could take Ukraine. Russians make very little progress on the battle field, while Ukrainians started to systematically degrade Russian oil and gas infrastructure with domestically produced drones.
Let's agree to disagree on that.
I don't think it'll be long before Ukr completely collapses. As an army, as a nation and as a people.
I would suggest you follow Simplicius with his relentless Ukraine updates. It'd give you some perspective from the mainstream media that is all "Ukraine will win/Russia is collapsing" narrative. The truth is likely somewhere in the middle, and Simplicius does a good job on capturing that. [FYI: https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/sitrep-1226-odessa-pressure-peaks]
I can't reasonably critique most of what you wrote, since it's based mainly on speculation, albeit plausible. Just some minor corrections:
1) The Russian MANPADS ("Strela", probably) are not normally equipped with night vision sights. The attack was conducted at night, with the city plunged in darkness. Trump hinted that this was due to a cyber attack. That's certainly plausible - the SCADA systems used to control power plants are not exactly known for their security and the NSA has a lot of experience with this kind of stuff - but it's generally wise to take any Trump pronouncements with a grain of salt. It is, however, a fact that these power stations indeed went down and the website of the main power producing company is still off-line, AFAIK. I'd love the opportunity to do some DFIR on disk images of their computers...
2) At least one of the helicopters used in the attack sustained damage (although could continue to fly), so *something* must have shot at it.
In any case, it seems obvious that US intelligence had Maduro's environment completely compromised (they had copies of his safe room for training forced entry - copies that were exact down to the precise materials used), so HUMINT must have done a lot of work here. Not surprising, really - given how bad the economy in Venezuela is, it wouldn't have been too hard to buy off at least some people close to Maduro.
Thanks for your comments! And yes, a lot of this is pure speculation. The truth will get out eventually. Don't know if that'd be in my lifetime or not. But it'll be long after it matters anymore, that's for sure.