57 Comments
User's avatar
Richard Roskell's avatar

The bombing of the girl's school in Minab, Iran is horrific. Words are inadequate to describe evil like this.

eternalvigilance's avatar

Israel targets children in Gaza, who will believe they didn’t do the same in Iran?

Richard Roskell's avatar

I believe Israel was sending Iran a message. We will kill your female children. This is how far we're prepared to go.

No1's avatar

They didn't have to. Gaza is a testament to that already.

Richard Roskell's avatar

It's not about needing to do it. It's about openly displaying the willingness to slaughter even the innocent and destroy Iran's future.

No1's avatar

Sorry Richard, I feel I'm not following you here.

Israel murdered more civilians in Gaza in a few weeks than Russia did in their whole SMO/war. Doesn't that show their willingness enough?

Or do you hint that they want to make the Iranians *feel* it in their bones? Because Gaza is still far from their bed, but Minab is theirs?

Richard Roskell's avatar

You're absolutely right. Israel wantonly slaughtered tens of thousands, if not hundreds of thousands of civilians in Gaza. But that's not Iran, and the Israelis are showing how far they'll go in this conflict, not just in a previous one.

The girl's school was not the only civilian site attacked. Israel also targeted a girls' sports hall in Lamerd, Iran, killing more than a dozen children and adults.

https://www.dropsitenews.com/p/iran-lamerd-sports-hall-teenage-girls-killed-us-israel-war

I refrained from accusing Israel at first. After all, the attack on the girl's school yesterday could have been an errant missile from either side. However, subsequent photos of the destruction indicate that the school took multiple, high-intensity strikes. It wasn't an errant missile that missed its target. The school was directly targeted by multiple weapons. That's why virtually all the children were killed.

Laterna Magica's avatar

it's a ritual murder of innocent girls

Yoni Reinón's avatar

At this point Trump looks the greatest moron in history, totally compromised, corrupt to the bone. I remember the worthless Simplicius comment section a couple of days ago. The people in there are clueless as clapping seals. Nobody was able to read the situation right. Nobody answered to Simplicius clear and only meaningful question "should Iran strike first", eyerolling over Simplicius crazy boldness. Brian Berletic was right all the way. The Iranians were being led to the destiny of Syria, Irak, Lybia... Remember Assad was supposed to have +1000 mid range missiles of which he used none. Then Hezbollah was obliterated. Venezuela. Amazingly easily. It was like an unstoppable supernatural force was on the side of evil, hopelessly. Now that Iran has swiftly and sharply attacked not only Israel proper but US bases in +7 countries (Saudi Arabia, UAE, Qatar, Bahrein, Kuweit, Iralk and Jordan) its a different story. The Arab salafist beheaders are having a fraction of the pain their terrorists inflicy to the world. Dubai is going to take major blow as a money laundering hub. Now Trump cant declare victory and change course. There is a riot in Maga, the democrats want his scorched skin and his jew masters are far from happy. The pig is toast.

simply just me's avatar

-how many can spot the pattern? iraq, libya, syria, venezuela.... now trying iran...

-if iran domino falls, guess who's next...?

No1's avatar

pattern: they all have an "A" in the name? Is US*A* next? 😉

simply just me's avatar

you have a flair 4 scrabble, do/don't you?

bitcrypt's avatar

Google the interview that was done with American General Wesley Clark, that was if I recall, originally recorded sometime post-9/11 and leading up into the invasion of Iraq. Clark was let in on the gag, over at the Pentagram, which was a meticulously planned sequence of events that would topple governments in 7 Middle-eastern states, culminating last but far from least in Iran.

None of this currently unfolding "conflict" is random or influenced by chance. It was all game planned decades ago, and is only a long way behind schedule, but nevertheless on track.

simply just me's avatar

thank you, will follow the lead/trail.

JustPlainBill's avatar

Well-written post.

Since it seemed to me long ago that the neocons, including but not limited to the "Israel first" crowd, are immune to removal via our "democratic process" (i.e., by electing someone who says he will throw them out), the only avenue left is for them and their philosophy to become so discredited that they will face virtually unanimous rejection from all corners of the power spectrum.

I've been hoping for awhile now that one of these "forever wars" will bloody their noses badly enough that they would finally be forced to make a shamefaced exit, and we can adopt a more righteous policy of going to war only when we are supposed to--in true, legitimate defense. I thought Ukraine might be that war, but so far, no cigar. Maybe it will be this one...

No1's avatar

I've been hoping for the better part of 40 years... I'm still here... The bombs are still dropping... The people? Still asleep.

Brewer55's avatar

There are days when I wish I was part of the ignorant and blissfully unaware masses again. Once you can see things for the way they are, you cannot 'unsee' them.

I'm beyond disgusted. The America I grew up in in the 60's no longer exists, and hasn't for quite some time now. Even back then, things were going on under the hood that make up what we as a nation are today. It must be getting close to the end as they don't bother to hide much any longer.

Double U Economics's avatar

Well summarised However odious Iran's collectivist regime is; their military is a formidable opponent

Denis's avatar
1dEdited

Well summarized, NO1.

When I look at all the silliness going on in the world, everything going the opposite of how it is or should be (example, like the board of peace), I'm now convinced that my reality has traversed into a parallel (string theory) inverted universe. I want out of here, now. How do I get myself back to reality? Beam me up the hell outta here, Scottey. 😂 This planet is too screwed up for me.

Will do, Jim.

No1's avatar

Careful what you wish for - last time someone slid out of a bad universe, they spent five seasons trying to find their way back home and never quite made it.

SJY's avatar
1dEdited

the world/people are what they are; my only limited solution is to interact with people who I can reason with. I had the interest and time to follow The Duran, Prof Mearsheimer, Col Larry Wilkerson, Larry Johnson etc., over the last 5 years (before and during the SMO in Ukraine) so I was slowly able to see the reality of the MSM that we are constantly subjected to. Most people are part of the matrix (and dont see it), you have a lot of good people as part of No1's community and other similar communities. If we can survive the next handful of years, perhaps those who have not seen the reality that we see can be convinced of the reality. In the past they were not open to seeing the reality because to a large extent their lives were working, but for many that isnt the way it is now and so they may be willing to listen and see.

No1's avatar

hear hear! Welcome to the "other" side. I went on a rant not too long ago here: "https://no01.substack.com/p/theyre-not-even-trying-anymore", describing exactly that same feeling you have expressed here.

occamsrazorback22's avatar

I met with a friend for coffee a few weeks ago and Terry, with great sincerity, wanted me to convince him that he wasn't living inside a bad novel. This wasn't hyperbole...he was deadly serious, his white hot hatred for Trump devolving into limp resignation. These Epstein ghouls, if they aren't raping children they are murdering them in their schools. Eighty six and counting at one location. If we can't turn this shit-show around, I fear we are doomed.

These gangsters won't be voted out...I see dead people. There won't be enough lamp posts to hang them from. Let the payback begin.

Denis's avatar

"Let the payback begin."

The idea is nice, but most of the population is captured, as you know, Occam. Later.

Peter Pier's avatar

You could try reading Terry Pratchett‘s & Stephen Baxter‘s „The Long Earth“ 😉.

No1's avatar

Terry Pratchett is golden! Where do you think I get my sense of humour from 😁

Protect & Survive's avatar

Excellent anlysis No 1, thank you. Perhaps Iran devised their strategy all by themselves. I think the smell test wreaks of a Chinese process, out-the-box planning. Inscrutable. Non-linear. The economic mayhem by closed airspace with a few drones is almost collateral damage. It's expediency par excellence.

Tom the Piper's Son's avatar

If we consider recorded history and archaelogical evidence we might conclude that responsibility for all the above is simply ours, everyone's. All of this black smoke and horror occurring amidst all this blue sky and beauty - this is who we are, this is what we do and have always done.

Earth will continue to turn, seasons come and go and evolution will continue - with or without us.

Captain Pompano's avatar

This all sounds familiar.

Scarlett's avatar

For God's sake people, I get that once you were born into the privilege you are all like poets of sorts, but somewhere in your family tree your grandfather was a warrior, and his son - an merchant.

I personally didn't get any beauty sleep today. Do you know what it means for urban dwellers like yourselves contemplating on simulacra and post-post modernist tendencies? A genocidal inclinations from the land that first used war chariot in the modern (relatively speaking) warfare.

One thing to keep in mind: in your name they killed girls. Translation: it was done intentionally and sadistically. Because no rule of war applies to entitled and untouchables.

No1's avatar
13hEdited

Not in MY name. With my tax money, yes - but nobody asked me.

I've been trying to figure out why we keep marching into that region for literally thousands of years. Crusades, empires, oil, ideology... the justifications change, the direction doesn't. That's one of the reasons why I started writing - because if I can't stop it, I can at least help people *see* it clearly enough to stop sleepwalking through it.

I don't have answers. But I refuse to pretend it's done in my name.

Laterna Magica's avatar

Declining maritime powers want to control and extort money from the intersections of north-south and east-west trade routes.

simply just me's avatar

`Trump at a podium talking about “defending the American people” from a country 9,800 kilometres away - a country that had not attacked the US in any way, and that Washington had been negotiating with just the day before.`

can't but wonder

-how djt is going to "defend kids in usa," let alone in rest of the world...

-how much wisdom is there in decapitating hydra?

-how much of today's gulf moves/take downs is related to ....

1. https://www.azquotes.com/quote/1588457 (putin's words)

2. https://thesilverindustry.substack.com/p/op-ed-america-just-elected-a-child (surprised silver academy posted this)

3. https://eadaily.com/en/news/2026/01/30/a-scandal-is-brewing-in-the-us-the-ministry-of-justice-hastily-deleted-epsteins-files-with-testimony-against-trump (note the eerie connection with that date, 30jan2026, silver take down!)

disclaimer: writing this post with a heavy, burdendend mind/conscience/heart.

ps:paraphrasing no01's words from an earlier substack post, i would rather not want the gains from gold's & silver’s rise @ the cost of another's life/soul. these gains will be forever stained.

No1's avatar

Yeah, the more and more I read about Epstein it looks like blackmail from Israel. Because the way I see it, it's a disastrous move for the US. Just let Israel reap what they saw I'd say...

No1's avatar

Interesting bits:

- Patriot batteries at Gulf bases largely exhausted by end of day one

- The Khamenei death rumor is treated with skepticism by the author - pointing out Shia reverence for martyrdom as a reason Iran would announce it if true, not hide it

- The Dubai (Palm Jumeirah) strike is tied to Trump family investments there - no verification offered but presented as explanatory

Vesselin Bontchev's avatar

Khamenei is confirmed dead. The casualties at the girl's school have exceeded 100. Fucking barbarians...

You'll probably disagree but so far Iran's response has been pretty "meh" compared to what Israel and the USA have dished out against it.

The effective closing of Hormuz hurts China vastly more than the USA. If Iran still has a functioning government, they'll probably go for a "smart" closure, like letting Chinese tankers pass - although so far the traffic has stopped not so much because Iran has forbidden it but because the companies operating the tankers are afraid that one of the warring sides will hit their ships, intentionally or not.

The real danger is that Iran's government will fall apart. What will follow won't be "regime change and a win for democracy" but various military warlords grabbing power and shooting stuff. I don't know whether Iran's nuclear program has been completely dismantled but if not, it probably has a full go ahead by now, fatwa or not.

When Russia attacked Ukraine, it at least had the pseudo-legitimate cover of helping the persecuted ethnic Russians there. The USA and Israel don't have even this. When is the international community going to sanction them?!

No1's avatar

""When is the international community going to sanction them"" >> When pigs learn to fly... 🤦‍♂️

simply just me's avatar

"You'll probably disagree but so far Iran's response has been pretty "meh" compared to what Israel and the USA have dished out against it."

-history will encourage one to revisit what russian empire/ussr/russia has had to endure so far in order to reach where it is @ today.

-1 takeaway 4 sure being, somehow get hold of a pucking bomb. hat tip, north korea.

Protect & Survive's avatar

My thought also, don't have to make nukes, they can buy them, and probably have already. We will know if/when Israel applies their Samson action.

Stonebatoni's avatar

I just can’t believe how thoroughly they got their asses kicked when the US was telegraphing this for months. Where were the early warning electronic assets? The anti-air assets?

Next you have gulf states expending their own stockpiles of AD to protect US assets and threatening to use force against Iran.

Absolutely disastrous for the Islamic Guard Corps and their political allies. I honestly don’t know how it could have gone any worse.

simply just me's avatar

-history can only opine, this is merely day #1.

-against peer powers, history can also opine, souvenir ukraine? houthis? afganistan? iraq? vietnam?

-history can also remind, karma.

Rick Bolin's avatar

All the mid-East countries have meager capabilities compared to the West. The advanced systems we, Russia, and China sell them are not comparable to the same named systems in their home countries, by design.

dd's avatar
19hEdited

An Omani diplomatic aide has revealed that Iran had agreed to zero nuclear stockpiling, full IAEA verification and ‘never ever’ building a bomb; a fourteen page deal was ready to be signed. Two days later America bombed Iran and Trump told the world Iran had rejected negotiations.

https://x.com/gothburz/status/2027852172923154714?s=46

No1's avatar
15hEdited

the X link is fake and has been noted: ""OP is not a member of Oman’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs. He is a cyber security specialist. The entire post is a fictional representation of events. ""

What is known is that Iran wanted to give in a little bit (not even close to what USrael wanted), and that the negotiations were anything but a figleaf to give them an excuse to attack.

"positive" and "constructive"?

dd's avatar
14hEdited

Yes, you are correct that the article was fictional in light of the "reader added context" below the article.

However, Oman's foreign minister did confirm that Iran agreed to the "zero stockpiling". [1]

I totally agree with you that US/Trump never had good faith in the negotiations.

Appreciate your writings, No1!

[1] https://thehill.com/policy/international/5759623-iran-nuclear-deal-stockpiling/amp/

Laterna Magica's avatar

The false negotiations with Iran were a smokescreen for the attack; peace was never the goal. The Russians should reconsider talks with Kushner and Witkoff because exactly the same thing is happening again.

No1's avatar

Yep, one thing that the US showed now beyond any reasonable doubt is: don't even bother negotiating. The only way we negotiate is with flying metal.

Laterna Magica's avatar

You're right :) The American tradition of negotiation is like sitting down with card sharps to play poker with marked cards. It requires two Colts at your waist, a derringer in your sleeve ready to fire, a knife in your boot, and an ally with a double-barrelled shotgun behind your back ;)

No1's avatar

"negotiations"

Me's avatar

The US is an evil, terror, rouge state, and will be dealt with as such

bitcrypt's avatar

Top shelf post No1. Interesting that you raise the idea of intelligence supplementation from China as one possible explanation for the immediacy of Iran's counter-strikes on U.S. and Israeli. This is probably the most accurate explanation, //BUT// I would not discount some element of (how to put this) .... coordination among alleged "adversaries" for maximum dramatic effect.

This all seems spontaneous and organic, and most likely the bulk of the fighting is "real", but I wouldn't discount some scripted aspects of the "conflict". We should always remember the well documented fact that in past "conflicts", the Iranians would actually communicate and coordinate with the U.S. about conducting face-saving "counter-attacks" on U.S. bases in the region, in which they actually contact U.S. leadership and negotiate the best unused, dusty corner of some U.S. installation to drop a missile on, to demonstrate Iran is "fighting back" but in a way that completely eliminates any chance of U.S. casualties.

If events appear to unfold in a way that implies uncanny readiness and planning, consider that some of this may have been prearranged, because there is past evidence of that kind of "Wag the Dog" theatrical production.

No1's avatar

Thanks. I know in the past I had this kind of feelings about events.

The war is still young, so it's murky at best.

But yes, I will keep that in mind for sure.

I don't let my politics nor opinions guide my articles (too much). The facts are what they are. The reasons behind can be discussed. The effects should be disseminated!

What I'm more interested in - and yes, I'm very cynical here - how can I benefit from the reaction of others to this crisis?

bitcrypt's avatar

"Crisis Investing" I believe someone I follow has termed it. I am looking for similar pathways.

No1's avatar

Buffet called it "blood in the streets". I don't think he meant it literally though. Because that's called "Vulture Investing". Not something I will do. I'm not THAT immoral. But if other people react emotionally on an asset (or asset class) that I know will HUGELY benefit? I'm a buyer.

Thinker's avatar

The sheer depth that USA have gone down to be so manipulated by a "Cry Wolf" nation to fight a possibly "forever war" is just eye-opening and mind-blowing.