Well, I guess I'm in good company since I just found out Elon calls the advent of AGI "The Singularity", which is what I've been calling it for about 15 years since the AI madmen started have public forums discussing "The Future", which is so bright we're all gonna need shades.
So, now *some* AI can write it's own updates, guess all those code monkey teams & their mgmt. are gonna have to learn "vibe" coding, which of course they're probably doing, but no the competition for turning out usable apps will be fierce, with many losers along the way...
What does *that* have to do with economic/political/mental health implosion of Western Civilization?
Well, we don't know for 100% sure, but I betcha The Churn is about to turn entire industries upside-down, as many start hitting the bricks & life as we/they knew it becomes *different* by 2027-2028?
There'll be swaths of retail ca$hed out of the system to pay an already ridiculously inflated std. of living, with perhaps 10s of millions having to learn the hard way what living-at-the-edge actually means.
Thankfully us stackers read the tea leaves & planned ahead, mostly due to economic & political realities that are also converging at the same time that AI made Ag ultra important & valuable, while unemployment is going to numbers we haven't seen in 90 years...
Sure, there will be a few companies/corporations that will try to protect humanity's roles, but corporations won't & if the small cap companies try to hang onto their "employees" they'll be left in the dust.
Elon's been out there talking about how humanity will *benefit* from the new "AI Age", but I that's about as trustworthy as an apparatchik promising free everything to get elected...
Sure hope some leadership rises to the task of *new* vision for this Brave Weird World, it's been blatantly apparent that the (D)(R) Uniparty has done nada, -0-, zilch to prepare, guess they were too busy grifting for millions to see what's coming.
It's hard to be optimistic with our current crop of leaders. Institutions lost most of the trust they gathered over the centuries. They're out of control and asking an increasingly bigger share of "their" taxes (whilst forgetting it's OUR work and OUR money)...
So going back to the Stone Age might not be such a bad idea in the sense that it's a much more direct democracy. You don't like it? You challenge the Alpha Man of the village. Beat him? You're the new alpha...
"So going back to the Stone Age might not be such a bad idea in the sense that it's a much more direct democracy. You don't like it? You challenge the Alpha Man of the village. Beat him? You're the new alpha..."
Survival has always been reduced to tribalism; MultiCULTuralism throughout millennia has *always* failed.
Wisdom that comes with age (elders), when it is chosen to lead, has *always* trumped individual desires for more...
Once artificiality of individuality becomes sociocentric, peculiarity becomes fashionable, atypical the *new* typical, the flower of youth reigns for a season.
America was a sociopolitical *experiment* that wholly created a new *tribe*, based upon John Locke's legal theorem of "Natural Law", which *chose* to unite beyond race, religion, creed or socioeconomic class...
The American "tribe" was composed of three (3) branches of balanced, accountable "government"; We The People chose a fourth (4th) branch of unbalanced, unaccountable "government"; The Media.
Those that survive will be "going back" to *other* tribal systems, hopefully most won't devolve all the way to the "Stone Age"...
Procreation will be, as it always has been, the ultimate evolution & revolution.
I don't think we need to go all the way back to the stone age, maybe to the 40s/50s would be good enough: you can go far if you have decent leadership like FDR/Ike/JFK and Gen George Marshall. Prosperity killed us (like gamblers/traders who have a lucky streak and think they are geniuses); we as a society lost an appreciation of expertise and effort. Assuming we don't blow ourselves up, or let the terminators hunt us down, there are reasonable people out there (though admittedly not that many) who are willing to be convinced of good ideas and put their shoulder to the wheel to push it forward. Maybe we need to bide our time, not sure what other strategy works, can't fight the delusional mob.
What I DID notice is that people are mostly sheep. They follow or are led. And they don't care too much, and have blinders on to just "own nothing and be happy". And we can try to convince them, and that work is never done. But once there is a critical mass (which I noticed is starting to rise since corona), the snowball becomes an avalanche. Until we're at the other side.... Again all sheep. Following. Or be led.
Im very opitimistic. I think the potentila breakthroughs in AI will do wonder sof rhte worlkd eocnomy. especially for the usa if politicians would just keep out of business and regulation. in nay case the USA isstil the best of the pack for investment. Not trusting Elon;s vision is fair but he is usually right so i think betting against him wil not be profitable.
Bet in USA. its far form perfect but the best horse in the race. except for China no horses to compete against. if republicans stop shooitng themselves in feet with things like ICE overreach they might actually win another election
Back in 1992 a couple of in-house reporters @ LA FED/Superior Court (who were also pro bono type liars-for-hire) created a niche where they used their real-time press access to new complaints (civil lawsuits) to create a daily comprehen$ive report, with underlying documents available upon reque$t, all *immediately* available via *fax* 🚲
Fast forward to 1996, my wife & I partnered with the LA boys to open up courts in Foley Square (we were recommended due to my wife's legal + my eng'r tech skills), where I decided immediately to put the whole shebang online, thereby creating a *new* industry that *promptly* emerged as a must have tool for law firms & corporate/financial community.
Within 2 years the need for court runners & clerks camping in the courthouses fell off a cliff, it happened before we realized our efforts led to it ~ A literal subsection of Gotham's legal society, hundreds of jobs going back centuries, was *poof* 💨
The .gov judges, clerks & court employees had -0- clue about what happened, in fact most didn't even notice, partly because my corporate aerospace mgmt. background taught me, well, to play our cards close to my chest (training the wifey was a bit of a challenge, though).
*Loose Lips Can Sink Ships*
Guess that's in part why we engendered the absolute trust of the *big* lawfirms, most of whom we maintained their *confidential* client lists to *alert* them when a client was sued or went with another firm...
The government leviathan finally, after 19 years, caught up & put us out-of-biz in 2015.
*We're the government, we're here to help*
The business a *huge* boon for us, removing us from *stressful* lifestyles while making 3-4 times our previous income ~ Our business literally made money 24/7/365 💰
I did *all* of that just armed with HTML + a Perl script generator; Just try to imagine what I could do today with AGI?
If I was so inclined I could revise the system with AGI & revolutionize a whole sector of legal news reporting & document services, but we're retired with *other* priorities now, though someone is going to see the *huge* niche & drink everyone's milk shakes...
The paradigm of AGI is on par with the invention of the light bulb, or Ford's mass production assy line mfg, actually almost all human breakthroughs combined & anyone that doesn't yet grok the extinction level event unfolding is in for a very *rude* awakening 😵💫
*Take nothing for granted*
Right now *leadership* should be wiping the slate clean & starting over, beginning with academia that's been failing for decades & has -0- clue how it needs to prepare *humanity* for the next evolutionary leap...
Instead, AGI is about fall into hands of apparatchik narcissists & sociopaths, a scenario probably more akin to handing a loaded AK47 to a chimp, or in AGI's case a nuke (っ´ཀ`)っ
But hey, Amerika's favorite trillionaire is telling everyone to stay calm, trust the *failed* system; It's all rainbows, puppies, unicorns & free $hit 4evah from here! 🌈 🐶 🎠
Getting damn near impossible to tell where the psyops end & the terminal stupidity of pompous Boobus Americanus takes over, thus the success Robber Barons/Crony Capitalists in dumbing down gen pop, which predates WWI, with belief distinctly devolved into a dualistic closed feedback loop...
Even out here on the fringes of online social mania, where the occasional retard opens his mouth & removes all doubt, the frothing anticipation of "The Reset" can be seen, behold the ravings of Boobus Americanus that have been deprogrammed in advance with false tribal villains to assign blame ლ(ಠ益ಠლ)
That said, it's about time to stop feeding the beast, my time to be speechless draws very near...
“Democracy is a pathetic belief in the collective wisdom of individual ignorance. No one in this world, so far as I know—and I have researched the records for years, and employed agents to help me—has ever lost money by underestimating the intelligence of the great masses of the plain people. Nor has anyone ever lost public office thereby.” ― H.L. Mencken,
Normy history is the fantastic notion that the SE tribes marched happily to what became Oklahoma. Through a vast, untouched National Park- AKA The Trail of Tears. It is the proposition that black folk welcomed the free ride to the sweaty cotton fields of the Ol' South. That gratitude extended to allowing slave owners to rape their women. Normy history is the absurd proposition that Texas and much of the West including California wasn't stolen from Mexico by the pious pirate, President Polk in the mid-1840s. The final absurdity of normative history is that there's difference between the Dems and Republicans. The cherry on top is the absurd fiction that the armed to the teeth USA is interested in peddling democracy around the world.
I guess you dont have a very high opinion of the USA with respect top the rest of the world? do you htink Europe or china or russia or india(spekaing of major powers) are different or better?
They're different in minor ways, but not particularly better or worse than USA.
But they are ASCENDING… and we are NOT.
Outside of some arcane religious interpretations, can you imagine the great mass of people in Russia, China, India putting up with multiple sexes/ genders/ pronouns?
If you have the time try this guy's assessment of some of the troubles AI is facing short term. The series is eight vids long but an interesting look at some of the issues facing AI's expansionist visions from energy supply to insurance coverage.
I checked out his latest video, not sure the guy's got enough frame-of-reference to be taken seriously, but that's okey dokey because I don't do videos anyways, unless it's nostalgia related.
There's just soo many people armed with a microphone & desk stand, blasting what usually sounds like engagement farming hoopla, with a agenda driven script compiled from from Xwitter (usually megapop partisan slop feeds), with no consideration for spiritual sanity to enter the frame.
Also, I noticed he turned his comment section off for last week's broadcast, which he previously hadn't done before, perhaps with all of the *breaking* news (are you broken, yet?) on AI breakthroughs it all became a bit much for the poor dude?
Sorry, but I'm a bit grumpy today, don't take it personal
Can you imagine how wonderful it'll be when a billion people equipped with AGI start uploading their "content"?
Must. Break. Free. Of. Internet.
Surely. That's. Enough. Artificial. Realty. To. Know.
Nothing. Good. Ever. Happens. Online.
"You can fool some of the people all of the time, and all of the people some of the time, but you cannot fool all of the people all of the time." ~ Pope Gregory the Great
No apologies needed. I hadn't noticed the comment section bit. Hmmm? Grumpy tends to be the order of the day for those who are working the "follow the dots" game. Anger over the shenanigans visible to any and all is simmering just under the surface for a lot I suspect.
Regarding the chart under "Retail flows into stocks", I wonder, given > 12% CC defaults in the next chart, where is retail obtaining the funds to go further long? Is it all leveraged and margined trade account borrowing?
Retail includes plenty of households with no delinquent credit card debt, indeed with no debt at all. Though that might change if portfolios are wiped out.
I suppose the keyword to be defined would be "plenty". Asking Grok: "What percentage of US households have zero debt of any form?" results in this excerpted bullet summary:
.
> WalletHub (updated January 2026) reports around 23% of Americans are debt-free, accounting for all types: credit cards, mortgages, auto loans, student loans, personal loans, etc.
.
> National Debt Relief and similar sources reference the same Federal Reserve-derived statistic at about 23% with no debt.
.
> Debt prevalence varies: ~47% have credit card balances, ~42% have mortgage-related debt, ~37% have vehicle loans.
last one: no. I've done so in the past, but it's tricky. Those are the companies that get saved first.
What I am doing is shorting MSTR & CRWV via long term puts. For example MSTR strike 5 for Jan28. It's a moonshot basically, but I couldn't resist as it was only 50 cent per option!
Well, I guess I'm in good company since I just found out Elon calls the advent of AGI "The Singularity", which is what I've been calling it for about 15 years since the AI madmen started have public forums discussing "The Future", which is so bright we're all gonna need shades.
So, now *some* AI can write it's own updates, guess all those code monkey teams & their mgmt. are gonna have to learn "vibe" coding, which of course they're probably doing, but no the competition for turning out usable apps will be fierce, with many losers along the way...
What does *that* have to do with economic/political/mental health implosion of Western Civilization?
Well, we don't know for 100% sure, but I betcha The Churn is about to turn entire industries upside-down, as many start hitting the bricks & life as we/they knew it becomes *different* by 2027-2028?
There'll be swaths of retail ca$hed out of the system to pay an already ridiculously inflated std. of living, with perhaps 10s of millions having to learn the hard way what living-at-the-edge actually means.
Thankfully us stackers read the tea leaves & planned ahead, mostly due to economic & political realities that are also converging at the same time that AI made Ag ultra important & valuable, while unemployment is going to numbers we haven't seen in 90 years...
Sure, there will be a few companies/corporations that will try to protect humanity's roles, but corporations won't & if the small cap companies try to hang onto their "employees" they'll be left in the dust.
Elon's been out there talking about how humanity will *benefit* from the new "AI Age", but I that's about as trustworthy as an apparatchik promising free everything to get elected...
Sure hope some leadership rises to the task of *new* vision for this Brave Weird World, it's been blatantly apparent that the (D)(R) Uniparty has done nada, -0-, zilch to prepare, guess they were too busy grifting for millions to see what's coming.
Other than that, everything's great!
👍 Have a great week 👍
What a pessimist. So you think political leaders have the ability to manage economies:) maybe we should go back to the Stone Age.
It's hard to be optimistic with our current crop of leaders. Institutions lost most of the trust they gathered over the centuries. They're out of control and asking an increasingly bigger share of "their" taxes (whilst forgetting it's OUR work and OUR money)...
So going back to the Stone Age might not be such a bad idea in the sense that it's a much more direct democracy. You don't like it? You challenge the Alpha Man of the village. Beat him? You're the new alpha...
"So going back to the Stone Age might not be such a bad idea in the sense that it's a much more direct democracy. You don't like it? You challenge the Alpha Man of the village. Beat him? You're the new alpha..."
Survival has always been reduced to tribalism; MultiCULTuralism throughout millennia has *always* failed.
Wisdom that comes with age (elders), when it is chosen to lead, has *always* trumped individual desires for more...
Once artificiality of individuality becomes sociocentric, peculiarity becomes fashionable, atypical the *new* typical, the flower of youth reigns for a season.
America was a sociopolitical *experiment* that wholly created a new *tribe*, based upon John Locke's legal theorem of "Natural Law", which *chose* to unite beyond race, religion, creed or socioeconomic class...
The American "tribe" was composed of three (3) branches of balanced, accountable "government"; We The People chose a fourth (4th) branch of unbalanced, unaccountable "government"; The Media.
Those that survive will be "going back" to *other* tribal systems, hopefully most won't devolve all the way to the "Stone Age"...
Procreation will be, as it always has been, the ultimate evolution & revolution.
*Villages*
I like the Minyan concept.
In most cases elders are wise helpers.
Worshiping youth *always* a waste.
I don't think we need to go all the way back to the stone age, maybe to the 40s/50s would be good enough: you can go far if you have decent leadership like FDR/Ike/JFK and Gen George Marshall. Prosperity killed us (like gamblers/traders who have a lucky streak and think they are geniuses); we as a society lost an appreciation of expertise and effort. Assuming we don't blow ourselves up, or let the terminators hunt us down, there are reasonable people out there (though admittedly not that many) who are willing to be convinced of good ideas and put their shoulder to the wheel to push it forward. Maybe we need to bide our time, not sure what other strategy works, can't fight the delusional mob.
What I DID notice is that people are mostly sheep. They follow or are led. And they don't care too much, and have blinders on to just "own nothing and be happy". And we can try to convince them, and that work is never done. But once there is a critical mass (which I noticed is starting to rise since corona), the snowball becomes an avalanche. Until we're at the other side.... Again all sheep. Following. Or be led.
Im very opitimistic. I think the potentila breakthroughs in AI will do wonder sof rhte worlkd eocnomy. especially for the usa if politicians would just keep out of business and regulation. in nay case the USA isstil the best of the pack for investment. Not trusting Elon;s vision is fair but he is usually right so i think betting against him wil not be profitable.
Not really the betting type, but you're right, let's be optimistic.
I had a bit of a moment earlier, not really fear-based, more of an input overload...
Sometimes chaotic, existential crises happen, some will rise, some will fall; Way beyond my pay grade, Elon's too IMHO.
*Life*
Life Will Find A Way.
Life Is For Those That Choose It.
Life Is Not For Dinosaurs.
Bet in USA. its far form perfect but the best horse in the race. except for China no horses to compete against. if republicans stop shooitng themselves in feet with things like ICE overreach they might actually win another election
Modern industrial economy is our life support system.
Going back to the stone age means starvation death for everybody with a keyboard.
Or perhaps he's a REALIST regarding the dystopian future that awaits us? 😧
Look at the hidden history behind the normy history. Most peeps don't even know the latter!
Back in 1992 a couple of in-house reporters @ LA FED/Superior Court (who were also pro bono type liars-for-hire) created a niche where they used their real-time press access to new complaints (civil lawsuits) to create a daily comprehen$ive report, with underlying documents available upon reque$t, all *immediately* available via *fax* 🚲
Fast forward to 1996, my wife & I partnered with the LA boys to open up courts in Foley Square (we were recommended due to my wife's legal + my eng'r tech skills), where I decided immediately to put the whole shebang online, thereby creating a *new* industry that *promptly* emerged as a must have tool for law firms & corporate/financial community.
Within 2 years the need for court runners & clerks camping in the courthouses fell off a cliff, it happened before we realized our efforts led to it ~ A literal subsection of Gotham's legal society, hundreds of jobs going back centuries, was *poof* 💨
The .gov judges, clerks & court employees had -0- clue about what happened, in fact most didn't even notice, partly because my corporate aerospace mgmt. background taught me, well, to play our cards close to my chest (training the wifey was a bit of a challenge, though).
*Loose Lips Can Sink Ships*
Guess that's in part why we engendered the absolute trust of the *big* lawfirms, most of whom we maintained their *confidential* client lists to *alert* them when a client was sued or went with another firm...
The government leviathan finally, after 19 years, caught up & put us out-of-biz in 2015.
*We're the government, we're here to help*
The business a *huge* boon for us, removing us from *stressful* lifestyles while making 3-4 times our previous income ~ Our business literally made money 24/7/365 💰
I did *all* of that just armed with HTML + a Perl script generator; Just try to imagine what I could do today with AGI?
If I was so inclined I could revise the system with AGI & revolutionize a whole sector of legal news reporting & document services, but we're retired with *other* priorities now, though someone is going to see the *huge* niche & drink everyone's milk shakes...
The paradigm of AGI is on par with the invention of the light bulb, or Ford's mass production assy line mfg, actually almost all human breakthroughs combined & anyone that doesn't yet grok the extinction level event unfolding is in for a very *rude* awakening 😵💫
*Take nothing for granted*
Right now *leadership* should be wiping the slate clean & starting over, beginning with academia that's been failing for decades & has -0- clue how it needs to prepare *humanity* for the next evolutionary leap...
Instead, AGI is about fall into hands of apparatchik narcissists & sociopaths, a scenario probably more akin to handing a loaded AK47 to a chimp, or in AGI's case a nuke (っ´ཀ`)っ
But hey, Amerika's favorite trillionaire is telling everyone to stay calm, trust the *failed* system; It's all rainbows, puppies, unicorns & free $hit 4evah from here! 🌈 🐶 🎠
💯%!
.
As I understood from the start: AI is akin to fire, the wheel, the printing press, the steam engine, electricity and the internet.
.
We're not there yet though. Much like the first cars were no ferraris. But the speed with which AI will progress is enormous.
.
Main issue is that it will probably be (or even is already) used to control the populace.
"Main issue is that it will probably be (or even is already) used to control the populace."
_______________________________________________________________
Sometimes No1 Can Appreciate Verity
Sometimes Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction Told
Apparitions Arrayed In Whole Sackcloth
_______________________________________________________________
Getting damn near impossible to tell where the psyops end & the terminal stupidity of pompous Boobus Americanus takes over, thus the success Robber Barons/Crony Capitalists in dumbing down gen pop, which predates WWI, with belief distinctly devolved into a dualistic closed feedback loop...
Even out here on the fringes of online social mania, where the occasional retard opens his mouth & removes all doubt, the frothing anticipation of "The Reset" can be seen, behold the ravings of Boobus Americanus that have been deprogrammed in advance with false tribal villains to assign blame ლ(ಠ益ಠლ)
That said, it's about time to stop feeding the beast, my time to be speechless draws very near...
“Democracy is a pathetic belief in the collective wisdom of individual ignorance. No one in this world, so far as I know—and I have researched the records for years, and employed agents to help me—has ever lost money by underestimating the intelligence of the great masses of the plain people. Nor has anyone ever lost public office thereby.” ― H.L. Mencken,
What is “normy history?” I only remember US history and world history courses
In high school and university
"What is “normy history?” "
Normy history is the fantastic notion that the SE tribes marched happily to what became Oklahoma. Through a vast, untouched National Park- AKA The Trail of Tears. It is the proposition that black folk welcomed the free ride to the sweaty cotton fields of the Ol' South. That gratitude extended to allowing slave owners to rape their women. Normy history is the absurd proposition that Texas and much of the West including California wasn't stolen from Mexico by the pious pirate, President Polk in the mid-1840s. The final absurdity of normative history is that there's difference between the Dems and Republicans. The cherry on top is the absurd fiction that the armed to the teeth USA is interested in peddling democracy around the world.
I guess you dont have a very high opinion of the USA with respect top the rest of the world? do you htink Europe or china or russia or india(spekaing of major powers) are different or better?
They're different in minor ways, but not particularly better or worse than USA.
But they are ASCENDING… and we are NOT.
Outside of some arcane religious interpretations, can you imagine the great mass of people in Russia, China, India putting up with multiple sexes/ genders/ pronouns?
Short answer: as you stated, what you learned in school.
I may give a longer answer later.
If you have the time try this guy's assessment of some of the troubles AI is facing short term. The series is eight vids long but an interesting look at some of the issues facing AI's expansionist visions from energy supply to insurance coverage.
https://www.youtube.com/@RodMillerAI/videos
I checked out his latest video, not sure the guy's got enough frame-of-reference to be taken seriously, but that's okey dokey because I don't do videos anyways, unless it's nostalgia related.
There's just soo many people armed with a microphone & desk stand, blasting what usually sounds like engagement farming hoopla, with a agenda driven script compiled from from Xwitter (usually megapop partisan slop feeds), with no consideration for spiritual sanity to enter the frame.
Also, I noticed he turned his comment section off for last week's broadcast, which he previously hadn't done before, perhaps with all of the *breaking* news (are you broken, yet?) on AI breakthroughs it all became a bit much for the poor dude?
Sorry, but I'm a bit grumpy today, don't take it personal
Can you imagine how wonderful it'll be when a billion people equipped with AGI start uploading their "content"?
Must. Break. Free. Of. Internet.
Surely. That's. Enough. Artificial. Realty. To. Know.
Nothing. Good. Ever. Happens. Online.
"You can fool some of the people all of the time, and all of the people some of the time, but you cannot fool all of the people all of the time." ~ Pope Gregory the Great
No apologies needed. I hadn't noticed the comment section bit. Hmmm? Grumpy tends to be the order of the day for those who are working the "follow the dots" game. Anger over the shenanigans visible to any and all is simmering just under the surface for a lot I suspect.
Regarding the chart under "Retail flows into stocks", I wonder, given > 12% CC defaults in the next chart, where is retail obtaining the funds to go further long? Is it all leveraged and margined trade account borrowing?
Retail includes plenty of households with no delinquent credit card debt, indeed with no debt at all. Though that might change if portfolios are wiped out.
I suppose the keyword to be defined would be "plenty". Asking Grok: "What percentage of US households have zero debt of any form?" results in this excerpted bullet summary:
.
> WalletHub (updated January 2026) reports around 23% of Americans are debt-free, accounting for all types: credit cards, mortgages, auto loans, student loans, personal loans, etc.
.
> National Debt Relief and similar sources reference the same Federal Reserve-derived statistic at about 23% with no debt.
.
> Debt prevalence varies: ~47% have credit card balances, ~42% have mortgage-related debt, ~37% have vehicle loans.
To say concerning is to be simplistic- yet concerning is what these charts portend.
Alles Klar!
;-/
As always, keep those cards, letters, & GRAPHS coming!
Quick thoughts on some of them.
In “Disapproval ratings” love seeing France, UK, Germany at the top. Conspicuous by his absence is Bibi. Why?
I’m hesitant (not as much as before the PM bloodshed) to add miners, but “Gold miners vs S&P” is too lovely to ignore as is “S&P/Gold.”
“Retail flows into stocks” yep, I’m lining up to ETF short S&P and QQQ.
“The (not so) Magnificent 7:” 😄 Love the film reference. Would you look to short them? Via all using an ETF or selectively using options?
last one: no. I've done so in the past, but it's tricky. Those are the companies that get saved first.
What I am doing is shorting MSTR & CRWV via long term puts. For example MSTR strike 5 for Jan28. It's a moonshot basically, but I couldn't resist as it was only 50 cent per option!
Here is a penny - a silver one - for your thoughts - in response:
https://substack.com/profile/45215226-buffalo_ken/note/c-214936133